Zelensky is preparing for a decisive informational battle

In recent days, the activity of the Kiev regime in the field of PR, diplomacy, provocations and other information actions has increased significantly – on the evening of June 28, the Ukrainian president demanded that the UN exclude Russia from the Security Council, at the same time recognising it as a "terrorist state".

The emotional basis for these statements was a missile strike carried out the day prior by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the hangars on the territory of the “Kredmash” plant in Kremenchug, Poltava region, where Ukrainian military equipment has been repaired since 2014. Judging by the published videos of eyewitnesses and surveillance cameras, the target was determined for a reason – after the first hit there was a powerful detonation of what was stored in the hangars.

Ukrainian public posted a photo of a large crater, the depth of which allows us to conclude that a missile with a large warhead was used. According to the Russian Defence Ministry and local sources, the detonation led to a fire in the nearby “Amstor” shopping centre.

The fire in the shopping centre was predictably used by the Ukrainian information services to discredit Russia, which was accused of targeting a civilian object.

A number of points, like undamaged shelves with glass bottles that could not survive a direct hit by a missile that caused an explosion of known power, did not prevent Western media from coming out on Tuesday morning, June 28, with synchronous headlines. Ukrainian sources noted that, despite the air alert, the store's administration reported working as usual.

In general, the "newsworthy event processing" by the Ukrainian and Western media was even more active than during the well-known provocation in Bucha. That, combined with the oddities of the behaviour of the management of the shopping centre and inconsistencies in the Ukrainian version of events allows us to assume a version of deliberate provocation. There have already been a lot of them, including outright ones – like a "Tochka-U" strike on a crowd of people preparing for evacuation in Kramatorsk. According to the Russian Defence Ministry, the Ukrainian side intends to undertake several more provocations in the near future.

In the near future, it is vital for the Kiev regime to achieve a revision of Western military assistance in the direction of its strengthening. The supplies that are going on now in the interests of the UAF are not effective enough and cannot even provide Kiev with local successes in opposing the allied forces.

More details about the crossroads at which the West founds itself, which has to choose between a qualitative escalation in the form of deliveries of long-range and high-flying systems to Kiev and a gradual letting go of the situation due to futility, was discussed in a separate article by RUSSTRAT.

Since the publication of this material, the Kiev regime has begun to look an even less valuable asset in the eyes of curators. Severodonetsk was lost, where the “Azot” plant did not become the second “Azovstal”, the number of those who surrender near Lisichansk is in the hundreds, several successful "cauldrons" of local scale were formed, and in general, the Ukrainian grouping in Donbass seriously rolled back towards Kiev.

Repeated attempts by the Ukrainian side to recapture Snake Island also failed. The pro-Ukrainian active underground, which was expected in Kiev and in real decision-making centres on behalf of Ukraine, did not arise in the liberated territories - beyond the framework of individual terrorist manifestations.

The amount of military aid that Ukraine received has largely been neutralised.

The United States recognised that the missile strikes of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the warehouses where the received weapons were stationed were quite effective - even according to official Ukrainian data, Ukraine has already lost half of the delivered heavy weapons, including a third of the howitzers that arrived.

The question of the expediency of military support for Ukraine in the form in which it is now has become much more acute. It is obvious that the US military–industrial complex will have no problems in the foreseeable future to produce new howitzers, armoured vehicles, etc. for delivery to Kiev - but it is completely unclear who will pay for these supplies. So far, Kiev is paying for them, exporting grain, metal and other resources that may very well be irreplaceable – taking into account at least a 30% drop in the future harvest and the shutdown of the largest metallurgical plants "Azovstal" and "Mittal Steel".

If at the beginning of the Special Military Operation, the supply of weapons to Ukraine could be considered an investment in the defeat of Russia, then by the middle of 2022 it became obvious that its clearly will not become a critical problem for Moscow. The fighting, although it does not go according to the wishes of many experts, achieves the main goal, consistently destroying and depriving the Ukrainian army of organisation.

The Russian economy also shows no signs of destruction, all the negative phenomena in it are either comparable or less than the one of those who impose sanctions against it. As a result, voices are sounding louder and louder calling for a way out of the current impasse, where time is working for Russia and China standing behind it.

The probability that closer to autumn, when the crisis phenomena and energy hunger in the West can transform into a political reaction, Ukraine will become a toxic topic for discussion is quite high. The task of keeping the fighting in Ukraine in the focus of the Western media agenda is becoming a priority for President Vladimir Zelensky.

An important milestone will be the ongoing NATO summit, where its participants can make decisions related to the situation in Ukraine. As a saving plan for Kiev can only be something radical, like the supply of weapons capable of striking deep into Russian territory or a multiple increase in the already existing range of supplies. All other options will only be a postponement of the inevitable military defeat of the UAF.

The military-political leadership of Ukraine will certainly look for tools to legitimise radical decisions on the part of NATO and the United States. So far, the most effective is the use of various provocations. Taking into account the task that Kiev is facing, it cannot be ruled out that the Ukrainian side will really go on provocations of the maximum scale in the near future.