War "to the last Ukrainian" becomes a reality

The fighting in Ukraine "to the last Ukrainian", which Western curators are pushing the Kiev regime towards, is becoming a reality.  At least, if we are talking about Ukrainians who are able and willing to use weapons generously shipped from NATO countries in the interests of Kiev.

As of April 28, the situation in the key areas of the Ukrainian fronts was not very different from what it was in previous periods. The unhurried progress of the Z-units continues, but at present it is impossible to talk about signs of serious operational successes.

In the Kharkov-Izyum area, Russian troops are engaged in fierce battles in settlements located close to each other, in connection with which the neutralisation of the enemy entrenched in them and free to manoeuvre turns into a set of individual tactical tasks that require time. In the foreseeable future, we should expect access to the section of the Barvenkovo-Slavyansk highway.

Slow movement is coming from the DPR and LPR in the direction of Severodonetsk and Popasnaya. As in the case described above, the problem lies in the vast territory, which is extremely difficult to surround with the available forces of Z units and the Ukrainian grouping’s opportunities to conduct tactical retreats to other settlements and their use of "human shield" tactics, which prevents the use of the most powerful firepower.

The most combat-ready Ukrainian units are still concentrated between Gulyai-Pole, Barvenkovo-Slavyansk and Severodonetsk and have numerical superiority over the advancing Z units (as well as fresh "O" ones). The Russian side is trying to stop this superiority with artillery, MLRS and air strikes. As a result, the Ukrainian armed formations daily suffer losses estimated in tens troops, and in some cases hundreds.

Thus, as a result of the work of Russian aviation alone, more than 300 nationalists were destroyed on April 27.

Apparently, the agglomeration of Kramatorsk and Slavyansk may face the fate of Mariupol. In the end, of course, it will be taken, but the unwillingness of the Ukrainian political leadership to negotiate peace entails a military solution to the problem, which means fierce fighting within the city limits.

Based on the dynamics of losses of Ukrainian armoured vehicles, aircraft, etc., the main bet of the UAF and their Western curators is made on numerical superiority and maximum saturation of MANPADS and ATGMs. 

In total, since the beginning of the special military operation, 142 Ukrainian aircraft, 111 helicopters, 614 unmanned aerial vehicles, 276 anti-aircraft missile systems, 2,623 tanks and other armoured combat vehicles, 299 multiple rocket launchers, 1,146 field artillery and mortars, as well as 2,431 units of special military vehicles have been destroyed. These numbers change quite smoothly.

It is worth noting that Ukrainian propaganda has not published evidence of the destruction of Russian equipment and other signs of military success for several weeks. This can be considered a fairly convincing indirect sign that the changed tactics of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, although losing in terms of pace, allows to minimise losses.

Of course, the enemy will try to take advantage of the time factor. The precarious balance that has been established from Kharkov to Kherson allows the Ukrainian side to have certain reserves in the rear, the logistical part of which is constantly being strengthened due to weapons, fuel and ammunition supplied from the West. If necessary, these reserves can be transferred to any part of the front, as well as for other unpleasant actions – for example, attacks on Transnistria or attempts to attack the Kursk region of Russia itself. Only lazy people in the West have not been talking about the transfer of hostilities to the territory of the Russian Federation in recent days, and the constant strikes on the border regions of the country make it clear that the Ukrainian side is "getting а taste for it".

The two months that have passed since the beginning of the special military operation in a purely calendar way hint that the operation will take at least several more months. The number of these months will depend on the goals set by the military command. As a result, it is necessary to attend to the strategic weakening of the enemy, for which the supply of weapons, equipment and fuel is vital.

It is possible to achieve the neutralisation of such supplies by further disabling the Ukrainian infrastructure involved in the transportation and placement of military cargo. This, in fact, has already begun -  the destruction of a bridge over the Dniester estuary and a number of facilities in central and western Ukraine, where the military aid received from NATO was stored.

Logic requires an increase in the number of missile strikes on such objects. Otherwise, the fighting in Ukraine will end not with the exhaustion of Western weapons, but with the disappearance of those soldiers who can use these weapons. The task of maximum extermination of Ukrainians is not included in the list of the special military operation’s targets, which means that it will be necessary to neutralise the military potential of the UAF even before a new batch of Western weapons arrives to the Ukrainian soldiers.